Probabilities and downside to releasing wine (4)

I believe the answer is:

odds

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'probabilities' is the definition.
(I've seen this before)

I can't explain the rest of the clue.

(Other definitions for odds that I've seen before include "at this is in dispute" , "Variance" , "Bookies give them" , "inequality" , "Ratios set by bookies" .)

I've seen this clue in the Irish Times.

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